Wednesday, January 2, 2013

Asia stocks take off as U.S. fiscal cliff crisis ends

HONG KONG (Reuters) - Asian stocks rose nearly two percent to hit a five-month high and the dollar fell as both houses of Congress passed a bill to end the "fiscal cliff" crisis that threatened a U.S. recession and roiled world financial markets.

European markets were set to rally on the news, with spreadbetters expecting London's FTSE <.ftse> to rise about 1 percent and Frankfurt's DAX <.gdaxi> to open up 0.5 percent.

The Congress approved extending lower Bush-era tax rates to all but the nation's wealthiest households in a budget deal that stopped automatic implementation of $600 billion in spending cuts and tax increases.

The bill's passage in Congress allayed earlier concerns over complaints from a number of Republicans that spending cuts were still not adequately addressed.

The temporary reprieve that the deal offers the U.S. economy also sets up Wall Street for a strong start to trading which resumes later in the day.

Asian stock markets cheered the developments as a major risk for investors, namely a slump in the global economy, appeared to have receded for now.

"This is great news for global growth and explains why shares and other growth-related assets such as the Australian dollar are up strongly today," said Shane Oliver, strategist at AMP Capital.

Australian shares <.axjo> rose to a 19-month high while the Aussie dollar jumped to 1.4082.

The MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan index of stocks <.miapj0000pus> rose 1.9 percent. Chinese shares in Hong Kong <.hsce> jumped 3 percent as last month's rally spilled over into the new year with stocks closely linked to China's economy such as steel and cement posting the biggest gains.

In South Korea, where data showed manufacturing activity rose for the first time in seven months in December, the KOSPI index <.ks11> was up 1.6 percent led by a 3.6 percent jump in smartphone giant Samsung Electronics .

"The index is riding high on the U.S. fiscal deal. This upward momentum will last a couple of weeks, after which there will be a reality check due to the unresolved issue of the spending cuts and debt ceiling," said Cho Tae-hoon, an analyst at Samsung Securities.

Singapore <.ftsti> was the best-performing market in South East Asia rising 1.2 percent after data showed the city-state dodged an expected economic recession in the last three months of 2012.

RISK ON

Asian stocks outside Japan rose nearly 20 percent last year as a combination of improving economic data from China, easing worries about a euro zone blow-up, and global central bank easing that encouraged investors back into equity markets.

Sakthi Siva, Asia strategist for Credit Suisse, said in a note to clients that 2013 could see similar returns for Asian equities, given a solution to the fiscal crisis.

"As we move into 2013 we retain our bullish bias, and our theme is whether markets could catch up with earnings," said Siva, adding that markets in China and India could offer the most upside given the mismatch between index levels and earnings expectations.

Risky assets across the board got a lift with crude oil futures up 1.1 percent and copper futures in London jumping 1.7 percent.

The euro rose to $1.3261 against the U.S. dollar.

The safe-haven U.S. dollar edged lower, falling 0.4 percent against a basket of major currencies <.dxy>.

The Japanese yen continued its slide as investors wagered the Bank of Japan would have to take ever-more aggressive easing steps to support the economy and satisfy the new government.

The yen fell to 87.17 against the dollar to its weakest level since July 2010.

The Japanese currency also dropped to depths not seen in more than four years against the Australian and New Zealand dollars.

(Additional reporting by Wayne Cole in SYDNEY, Masayuki Kitano in SINGAPORE and Somang Yang in SEOUL; Editing by Eric Meijer)

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/asia-stocks-off-u-fiscal-065125923.html

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Tuesday, January 1, 2013

AP Sources: 'Fiscal cliff' deal emerging

The moon rises behind the U.S. Capitol Dome in Washington as Congress works into the late evening, Sunday, Dec. 30, 2012 to resolve the stalemate over the pending "fiscal cliff." (AP Photo/J. David Ake)

The moon rises behind the U.S. Capitol Dome in Washington as Congress works into the late evening, Sunday, Dec. 30, 2012 to resolve the stalemate over the pending "fiscal cliff." (AP Photo/J. David Ake)

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., followed by Sen. Pat Roberts, R-Kan., second from right, leaves the Senate chamber to meet with fellow Republicans in a closed-door session as the "fiscal cliff" negotiations continue at the Capitol in Washington, Sunday, Dec. 30, 2012. Leaders in the Senate and the House are under pressure to find a legislative path to head off the automatic tax hikes and spending cuts set to take effect Jan. 1, 2013. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., walks to a closed-door meeting with fellow Democrats as he and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., work to negotiate a legislative path to avoid the so-called "fiscal cliff," at the Capitol in Washington, Sunday, Dec. 30, 2012. Senate and House leaders are rushing to assemble a last-ditch agreement to stave off middle-class tax increases and possibly delay steep spending cuts in an urgent attempt to find common ground after weeks of gridlock. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)

Sen. Charles Schumer, D-N.Y., third ranking in the Senate Democratic leadership, speaks on his cell phone following a closed-door caucus at the Capitol in Washington, Sunday, Dec. 30, 2012 to discuss how to avoid the "fiscal cliff" of automatic tax increases and deep spending cuts that could kick in Jan. 1. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)

(AP) ? The contours of a deal to avert the 'fiscal cliff' emerged Monday, with Democrats and Republicans agreeing to raise tax rates on family income over $450,000 a year, increase the estate tax rate and extend unemployment benefits for one year, officials familiar with the negotiations said.

But with a midnight deadline rapidly approaching, both sides were at an impasse over whether to put off automatic, across-the-board spending cuts set to take effect on Jan. 1, and if so, how to pay for that. Democrats want to put off the cuts for one year and offset the so-called sequester with unspecified revenue.

Officials emphasized that negotiations were continuing and the emerging deal was not yet final. President Barack Obama was to speak about the status of the negotiations from the White House Monday afternoon.

The proposal in the works would raise the tax rates on family income over $450,000 from 35 percent to 39.6 percent, the same level as under former President Bill Clinton. Also, estates would be taxed at 40 percent after the first $5 million for an individual and $10 million for a couple, up from 35 percent to 40 percent.

Unemployment benefits would be extended for one year. Without the extension, 2 million people would lose benefits beginning in early January.

A Republican official familiar with the plans confirmed the details described to The Associated Press.

The officials requested anonymity in order to discuss the internal negotiations.

Unless an agreement is reached and approved by Congress by the start of New Year's Day, more than $500 billion in 2013 tax increases will begin to take effect and $109 billion will be carved from defense and domestic programs

Though the tax hikes and budget cuts would be felt gradually, economists warn that if allowed to fully take hold, their combined impact ? the so-called fiscal cliff ? would rekindle a recession.

Urgent talks were continuing Monday afternoon between the White House and congressional Republicans, with longtime negotiating partners Vice President Joe Biden and Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell at the helm. Underscoring the flurry of activity, another GOP aide said the two men had conversations at 12:45 a.m. and 6:30 a.m. Monday.

An agreement on the proposed deal would also shield Medicare doctors from a 27 percent cut in fees and extend tax credits for research and development, as well as renewable energy.

The deal would also extend for five years a series of tax credits meant to lessen the financial burden on poorer and middle-class families, including one credit that helps people pay for college.

The deal would achieve about $600 billion in new revenue, the officials said.

Despite the movement, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid warned that time was running out to finalize an agreement.

"Americans are still threatened with a tax hike in just a few hours," said Reid, D-Nev., as the Senate began an unusual New Year's Eve session.

Liberal Sen. Tom Harkin, D-Iowa, took to the Senate floor after Reid to warn Democratic bargainers against lowering levies on large inherited estates and raising the income threshold at which higher tax rates would kick in.

"No deal is better than a bad deal. And this look like a very bad deal the way this is shaping up," said Harkin.

Letting tax rates rise for couples with incomes of $450,000 a year is a concessions for Obama, who campaigned for re-election on a pledge to set the levels at $200,000 for individuals and $250,000 for couples. It also marked a significant concession by Republican leaders who pledged to continue the George W. Bush-era tax cuts for all income earners. .

The hope of the White House and lawmakers was to seal an agreement, enact it and send it to Obama for his signature before taxpayers felt the impact of higher income taxes or federal agencies began issuing furloughs or taking other steps required by spending cuts.

Regardless of the fate of the negotiations, it appeared all workers would experience a cut in their take-home pay with the expiration of a two-year cut in payroll taxes.

"This whole thing is a national embarrassment," Sen. Bob Corker, R-Tenn., said Monday on MSNBC, adding that any solution Congress would swallow at this late stage would be inconsequential. "We still haven't moved any closer to solving our nation's problems."

In a move that was sure to irritate Republicans, Reid was planning ? absent a deal ? to force a Senate vote Monday on Obama's campaign-season proposal to continue expiring tax cuts for all but those with income exceeding $200,000 for individuals and $250,000 for couples.

In one sign of movement on Sunday, Republicans dropped a demand to slow the growth of Social Security and other benefits by changing how those payments are increased each year to allow for inflation.

Obama had offered to include that change, despite opposition by many Democrats, as part of earlier, failed bargaining with House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, over a larger deficit reduction agreement. But Democrats said they would never include the new inflation formula in the smaller deal now being sought to forestall wide-ranging tax boosts and budget cuts, and Republicans relented.

"It's just acknowledging the reality," Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, said of the GOP decision to drop the idea.

As the New Year's Eve deadline rapidly approached, Democrats and Republicans found themselves at odds over a host of issues, including taxing large inherited estates. Republicans wanted the tax left at its current 35 percent, with the first $5.1 million excluded, while Democrats wanted the rate increased to 45 percent with a smaller exclusion.

The two sides were also apart on how to keep the alternative minimum tax from raising the tax bills of nearly 30 million middle-income families and how to extend tax breaks for research by business and other activities.

Republicans were insisting that budget cuts be found to pay for some of the spending proposals Democrats were pushing.

These included proposals to erase scheduled defense and domestic cuts exceeding $200 billion over the next two years and to extend unemployment benefits. Republicans complained that in effect, Democrats would pay for that spending with the tax boosts on the wealthy.

"We can't use tax increases on anyone to pay for more spending," said Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison, R-Texas.

_____

Eds: Associated Press writers David Espo, Andrew Taylor, Alan Fram and Josh Lederman contributed to this report.

Associated Press

Source: http://hosted2.ap.org/APDEFAULT/89ae8247abe8493fae24405546e9a1aa/Article_2012-12-31-Fiscal%20Cliff/id-48de439403b34023ae9f2c7fe8ba7eeb

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Broncos take top spot with 38-3 win over Chiefs

DENVER (AP) ? Peyton Manning figured one one-handed catch deserved another.

So, up the ladder he went ? throwing the ball high in the back of the end zone to Demaryius Thomas.

Thomas leaped and brought it down with his right hand, then got both feet down inside the line for a touchdown. With that, he joined Eric Decker in Denver's one-handed-touchdown club Sunday and gave the Broncos another otherworldly highlight to go with their home-field advantage throughout the playoffs after a 38-3 runaway over the Kansas City Chiefs.

"They claim they can do that all the time," said cornerback Champ Bailey, who got to watch the replays of both catches about a half-dozen times on the scoreboard. "They say they practice that. I don't see it. But as long as they do it on Sunday, I'm all for it. Those are some great, hard-working boys and I expect nothing less."

Manning, in search of his fifth MVP award and, yes, a second Super Bowl title, finished 23 for 29 for 304 yards, three scores and a 144.8 passer rating. One of his main competitors for the award, Adrian Peterson of the Vikings, ran for 199 yards to reach 2,097 for the season in a 37-34 win over Green Bay that secured a playoff berth.

That one went down to the wire. Manning was out of his game by the fourth quarter.

This was the second straight Sunday he used a grey-and-orange glove to prepare for the cold, playoff weather he could face at home the next two games.

"I threw it OK today, I guess," said Manning, who finished the season with 4,659 yards, 37 touchdowns and a 105.8 passer rating, all second best in his 15-year career.

Thanks to Houston's 28-16 loss to Indianapolis before the Broncos kicked off, Denver (13-3) will be the top seed for the sixth time. The Broncos made the Super Bowl four of the previous five times they've had home-field advantage.

Though the Chiefs (2-14) gave the Broncos as tough a tussle as anyone during their 11-game winning streak ? in a 17-9 loss last month ? this wasn't expected to be much of a game. It wasn't.

Leave it to Manning, ever the perfectionist, to ramp up the degree of difficulty.

On the 16-yard touchdown to Decker, Manning slightly overthrew the pass but Decker reached out with his left hand, brought the ball into his helmet, had it pinball against his facemask twice, then cradled it with both hands as he was falling to the ground.

"Peyton throws the ball up, giving us a chance to make a play. It's our job to catch it," Decker said.

The 13-yard touchdown to the 6-foot-3 Thomas mirrored a TD pass Manning threw to Decker last week against Cleveland: high in the back of the end zone where only his receiver could catch it.

"That was probably the limit right there," Manning said. "But I've seen him in practice. He can jump. He can really elevate. It's hard to throw it over his head, I'll say that."

The Thomas touchdown made it 28-3 and the celebration was on. The only trip the Broncos will have to make on their road to a championship would be to New Orleans for the Super Bowl. They'll open the playoffs at home Jan. 12 against Baltimore, Cincinnati or Manning's old team, the Colts.

Coach John Fox, in search of his second trip to the Super Bowl, won his 100th career game. Thomas and linebacker Wesley Woodyard congratulated him with a big splash of orange Gatorade at the end.

"It's an accomplishment, but it's something that was a lot of people's work. It wasn't one guy," Fox said.

Nor would Manning take all the credit for all he's accomplished in this, a comeback season in which he didn't know what to expect.

This marked his 73rd three-touchdown game, surpassing the record held by Brett Favre. Manning closed the regular season only 41 yards short of his career high.

"It's been a gratifying regular season," Manning said. "I will admit that. It is certainly more than I expected. I'm grateful and humble for it."

On the other end of the spectrum are the Chiefs, who, like the Broncos, had five Pro Bowlers on their roster, but finished with 119 yards of offense and wrapped up the first pick in next year's draft.

Coach Romeo Crennel watched the game from the sideline, leaning on a crutch, after having his knee drained of fluid earlier in the week. Many in Kansas City expect him to be unemployed soon.

"I told him it's been a long one," Chiefs defensive lineman Shaun Smith said about his postgame conversation with Crennel. "Sorry it didn't turn out the way (we wanted). I have faith in you and that's all that matters."

The Broncos swept their division games for the first time since 1998 ? the last time they won the Super Bowl.

John Elway retired after that one. Now, he's back, running Denver's front office, and he signed Manning with only one goal in mind: a third Lombardi Trophy.

For a brief glimmer, this could have been a game. The Broncos led 7-0 when Ronnie Hillman fumbled and Chiefs cornerback Brandon Flowers picked it up and was sprinting toward the end zone.

Manning cut off the Flowers return, allowing tight end Joel Dreessen to drag down Flowers at the 12. The Chiefs settled for a field goal and the Broncos scored the next 31 points.

Notes: Chiefs RB Jamaal Charles had 53 yards to finish the season with 1,509. ... Broncos FS Rahim Moore got his first career sack and Von Miller had one to bring his season total to 18?. ... Hillman wasn't seen against after his fumble. Lance Ball replaced him as Knowshon Moreno's backup and led the team with 66 yards on 15 carries.

___

Online: http://pro32.ap.org/poll and http://twitter.com/AP_NFL

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/broncos-top-spot-38-3-win-over-chiefs-001542286--spt.html

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12 Most Influential Forces In Higher Education In 2012

  • Sandra Fluke

    A year ago, Sandra Fluke was just a law student at Georgetown University who believed that if she and her peers were forced to purchase health insurance through their school, birth control and contraception should be covered. By the end of 2012, she had been the center of the political debate for weeks, was practically a household name, received phone calls from President Obama, appeared on countless TV news shows and spoke at the Democratic National Convention. It all started because Fluke and other students had long protested against Georgetown's policy of excluding birth control from its health insurance plans. She testified before a Congressional committee about the health issues her friends faced. The specific health concerns really didn't involve sexual relationships, but Rush Limbaugh decided to call her a "slut" and demand a sex tape from her on his national radio show, sparking a firestorm in the media around her and the Obama administration's policies. In the months after, many Jesuit universities were also suing the Obama administration over the birth control mandate.

  • Andrew Ng & Daphne Koller

    Andrew Ng (left) and Daphne Koller, Stanford University computer science professors who started Coursera, pose for a photo at the Coursera office in Mountain View, Calif. <a href="http://chronicle.com/blogs/wiredcampus/coursera-hits-1-million-students-with-udacity-close-behind/38801">Coursera attracted a number of notable institutions</a> to its Massive Open Online Courses platform and gained more students than any other MOOCs out there. This was <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/04/education/edlife/massive-open-online-courses-are-multiplying-at-a-rapid-pace.html?pagewanted=all">the year of the MOOC</a>.

  • Tom Harkin

    Sen. Tom Harkin, D-Iowa, chairman of the Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee, <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/07/30/for-profit-colleges-senate-report_n_1721058.html">released a damning report this year asserting</a> that for-profit schools often hit vulnerable students with exorbitant tuition, aggressive recruiting practices and abysmal student outcomes. Harkin's investigation has essentially given a black eye to for-profits, which <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/19/for-profit-college-enrollment_n_1988186.html">posted a significant decline in enrollment this year,</a> damaging their share prices on Wall Street.

  • Robert Applebaum

    Attorney turned activist Robert Applebaum worked with the Occupy Colleges/Occupy Student Debt team to <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/04/10/student-loan-forgiveness-act-2012-hansen-clarke_n_1415910.html">gather more than 1 million signatures on a piece of legislation</a> to forgive student loan debt.

  • Rodney Erickson

    Penn State University President Rodney Erickson ran the university following its child sex abuse scandal. In August 2012, the <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/07/12/freeh-report-penn-state-coverup-joe-paterno-jerry-sandusky_n_1667727.html">Freeh report detailed a high-level cover up</a>, including Erickson's predecessor. However, Penn State has put in motion a number of reforms, held <a href="http://protectchildren.psu.edu/">a national child abuse conference</a> and ripped down monuments on campus, which <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/07/22/joe-paterno-statue-penn-state_n_1692683.html">honored the late Joe Paterno</a>, who also covered up Sandusky's crimes, according to the Freeh report.

  • Pam & Robert Champion

    Pam and Robert Champion Sr., seen in this Oct. 22, 2012 photo, look at defendant Brian Jones as he apologizes to them before being sentenced in a Orlando, Florida courtroom. Their son was killed in a hazing incident, and in the aftermath, the Champions pushed FAMU to stop the kind of violent hazing that killed Robert Jr. Many other universities have taken notice around the country. Clubs, Greek houses and other student organizations were routinely suspended and investigated for alleged hazing incidents since Robert Champion's hazing death at FAMU.

  • Hillary Dworkoski

    Long before students around the country were petitioning to have their university boot Chick-fil-A off campus over the CEO's controversial comments about gay rights, <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/03/02/new-york-university-wont-_n_1317004.html">Hillary Dworkoski was calling for New York University to remove the fast food joint </a>from her campus. Dworkoski was upset about the millions the company's charitable arm has donated to anti-gay initiatives. To date, <a href="http://www.change.org/petitions/new-york-university-stop-serving-anti-gay-chick-fil-a-on-campus">her petition</a> has gotten more than 17,000 signatures, more than any other Chick-fil-A petition. Even Christine Quinn, New York City Council Speaker, <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/07/30/christine-quinn-nyc-chick-fil-a-nyu_n_1719538.html">jumped on the bandwagon and called for NYU </a>to remove the chicken joint.

  • Mark Yudof

    Despite enormous challenges from state funding cuts, rising tuition, criticism over the mishandling of student protests, multiple University of California campuses <a href="http://www.dailycal.org/2012/09/12/u-s-news-world-report-ranks-uc-berkeley-top-public-school/">remain world-class public research universities rivaling Ivy League schools in top rankings</a>. Mark Yudof, president of the UC system, presided over that and saw voters reward the schools by electing to raise taxes to fund them <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/07/prop-30-passes-california-education_n_2087931.html">through Prop 30</a> -- a ballot initiative.

  • Angie Epifano

    This fall, Angie Epifano wrote a column in the Amherst Student, the Amherst College student newspaper, about the poor treatment she received from the school when she came forward after a sexual assault she survived. Her <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/27/education/amherst-account-of-rape-brings-tension-to-forefront.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0">column sparked direct action from the Amherst administration</a> and an <a href="http://www.slate.com/blogs/xx_factor/2012/10/25/after_angie_epifano_amherst_rape_victims_speak_out_no_wonder_college_students.html">outcry from the students</a>. Afterwards a number of students came forward with similar stories around the country.

  • University Of Virginia Community

    Public college presidents have had a tough job navigating through budget cuts, a recession, skyrocketing tuition and student debt levels and calls for reforming education in general. <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/06/21/college-presidents-job-security-university-virginia-education-cuts_n_1617361.html?1340652010">Many of them chose to step down or were forced out</a> at notable state universities. But when University of Virginia president Teresa Sullivan was pushed out of her post, an uproar by UVA students, faculty and alumni <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/06/26/teresa-sullivan-university-of-virginia_n_1628201.html">forced a big reversal and her reinstatement </a>less than a month later.

  • Student Activists

    Whether it's petitioning for Chick-fil-A's removal from campus, a group locking themselves inside the Cooper Union Foundation Building, going on a hunger strike for better wages for school employees, demanding better care for sexual assault survivors or calling for their university to cut ties with fossil fuels, student-led movements typically cause real change in higher education.

  • Pop Music

    We're not sure what it is about pop stars like <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/19/call-me-maybe-ryan-challinor_n_2160797.html">Carly Rae Jepsen</a>, <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/04/26/gotye-parody-college-humor-video_n_1456876.html">Gotye</a> and <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/news/gangnam-style-parody">Psy</a> who inspired college students to make their own music videos to their hits. There were<a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/news/call-me-maybe-parody"> too many parodies</a> to track!

  • Source: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/12/31/most-influential-higher-education-2012_n_2388295.html

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    Huge Fire Destroys Warehouse, Disrupts Pink Line Service

    DNAinfo.com Chicago:

    CHICAGO ? Part of the Pink Line was shut down Saturday following a four-alarm fire at a Pilsen warehouse that created plumes of smoke that could be seen for miles.

    Service resumed late Saturday night.

    Firefighters requested the "L" to be shut down after flames and smoke from a fire at a three-story warehouse on the 2400 block of West 21st Street neared the tracks Saturday afternoon. The train is shut down from Polk and Central Park. Trains are operating only between 54th/Cermak and Central Park and 18th Street and the Loop. Shuttle buses are available for passengers traveling between 54th/Cermak and Polk, the CTA said.

    Read the whole story at DNAinfo.com Chicago

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    Source: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/12/30/huge-fire-destroys-wareho_n_2385122.html

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    Agriculture panel leaders reach deal for extending farm bill, maintaining milk prices (Star Tribune)

    Share With Friends: Share on FacebookTweet ThisPost to Google-BuzzSend on GmailPost to Linked-InSubscribe to This Feed | Rss To Twitter | Politics - Top Stories News, RSS and RSS Feed via Feedzilla.

    Source: http://news.feedzilla.com/en_us/stories/politics/top-stories/273937062?client_source=feed&format=rss

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    UN envoy: Without deal in Syria, think Somalia not Yugoslavia

    ? A daily summary of global reports on security issues.

    After a week of attempting to craft a peace plan that both President Bashar al-Assad and the Syrian opposition would agree to, the United Nations' envoy to Syria said the situation will not stabilize on its own and that a political deal is no closer.

    ?People are talking about a divided Syria being split into a number of small states like Yugoslavia,? Lakhdar Brahimi said, according to The New York Times. ?This is not what is going to happen. What will happen is Somalization ? warlords."

    ?The situation is bad and it?s getting worse,? Brahimi also said, according to Bloomberg Businessweek. ?I can?t see anything other than these two paths: Either there will be a political solution that will meet the ambitions and legitimate rights of the Syrian people, or Syria will turn into hell.?

    He warned that the violence could claim as many as 100,000 lives in 2013.

    Recommended: Sunni and Shiite Islam: Do you know the difference? Take our quiz.

    According to the New York Times, Mr. Assad did not respond to Mr. Brahimi's proposals and a Syrian opposition leader declined an invitation to Moscow to meet with Russian officials. Sergei Lavrov, Russia's foreign minister, said Assad could not be convinced to leave the country, which the opposition has insisted is a precondition for talks.

    Speaking about the yawning gap that has to be bridged for the two sides to sit down for talks, CNN reports that Brahimi said, "The Syrians disagree violently. On one side, the government says we are doing our duty to protect our people from ... terrorists. On the other side, they say the government is illegitimate," Brahimi said. "They are not talking about the same problem. They are talking about two different problems."

    Brahimi's comments came the day after what CNN said might be the bloodiest day in the uprising ? on Dec. 29, at least 399 people were killed.

    Get our FREE 2013 Global Security Forecast now

    According to Reuters, Mr. Lavrov pinned the blame for continuing violence on the opposition, even though the US, European countries, and most Arab states back the opposition's demand that Assad's removal from power come first.

    "When the opposition says only Assad's exit will allow it to begin a dialogue about the future of its own country, we think this is wrong, we think this is rather counterproductive," he said. "The costs of this precondition are more and more lives of Syrian citizens."

    But the Syrian opposition's calculus has changed over the last couple months. A string of victories has made it optimistic abut winning the war in the end, and therefore less flexible in negotiations, according to Reuters.

    REGIME STILL HAS STRENGTH

    But despite their recent success, "the government still has the bigger arsenal and a potent air force. It controls most of the densely populated southwest of Syria, the Mediterranean coast, most of the main north-south highway and military bases countrywide," Reuters notes.

    Russia appears to be making an effort to secure a meeting, agreeing to meet the opposition representative outside of Russia if he insists. Bloomberg reports that, according to RIA Novosti, the foreign ministry said talks could be held in Geneva or Cairo instead.

    Meanwhile, Brahimi is rapidly losing ground support in Syria, Reuters reports.

    The envoy's credibility with the rebels appears to have withered. In the rebel-held town of Kafranbel, demonstrators held up banners ridiculing Brahimi with English obscenities.

    "We do not agree at all with Brahimi's initiative. We do not agree with anything Brahimi says," the rebel chief in Aleppo province, Colonel Abdel-Jabbar Oqaidi, said on Friday.

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    Source: http://news.yahoo.com/un-envoy-without-deal-syria-think-somalia-not-135906217.html

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